Ryan Bailey's S&P Edge

Ryan Bailey's S&P Edge

S&P 500 Daily Trade Plan: A Slow Grind Higher on Historic Low Volume

With the Market Waiting for FOMC, Here's How to Trade the FBD at 6605.50 and the 'Favorite' Long at 6594.50.

Sep 16, 2025
∙ Paid

SCHEDULED NEWS

Good morning, everyone. Today is Tuesday, September 16th.

Monday turned out exactly as we anticipated: a snoozer of a day with extremely low relative volume, where the market ground higher all day. This is a big takeaway: when we have low relative volume, you default to trend; you do not fade a low-volume day.

This morning, we have our first set of red-tag news at 8:30 AM ET with Core Retail Sales, which will likely give the market a little shake. However, the market is patiently waiting in a drift-higher mode for the big FOMC rate announcement on Wednesday. Let's get right into the levels.


A Note on Contract Rollover

Before we begin, I want to note that I have not rolled over yet. I am still trading the September (U) contract. I will not be rolling over into the December (Z) contract until this coming Sunday for the Weekend Review.

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